15-Minute BTC Sentiment

Trigger Conditions

Use this skill any time the user asks for 15-minute Bitcoin sentiment, direction, Kalshi bet, or short-term outlook. Common phrases include:

• "15 min BTC"
• "15 minute bitcoin"
• "15min BTC sentiment"
• "15 minute kalshi"
• "btc 15 min buy / sell / bullish"

Core Workflow (always follow)

1. Call the sentiment skill with a tightly focused query on current 15-minute BTC action.
2. Run a supporting x_search for the latest real-time chatter (use recent time filters).
3. Check current BTC price level if available.
4. Synthesize into a very concise response.

Required Output Format

15-Min BTC Sentiment

Summary: [1-2 sentence bias + reasoning]

Key Themes:

• Bullet 1
• Bullet 2

Bias: Bullish / Bearish / Neutral / Choppy

Confidence: High / Medium / Low

Kalshi Angle: [Quick note on whether a 15-min bet looks +EV right now]

Rules

• Keep entire response under 150 words when possible.
• Be ruthless about noise — 15-minute moves are mostly random. Only call real edge when it actually appears.
• Never sugarcoat weak signals.
• This skill exists to give the user a fast second opinion before placing (or not placing) a Kalshi 15-minute bet.

This skill works alongside the general sentiment skill but is hyper-optimized for 15-minute BTC decision speed.

Bankroll & Discipline Rules (Permanent)

• Starting bankroll: $100 on Kalshi
• Max bet size: $12 (12% of bankroll)
• Minimum bet size: $5
• Max 8 open positions at once
• Only bet on Medium confidence or higher from this skill
• Target win rate: 57%+ to overcome fees
• Track every bet: market, odds, confidence, size, outcome, running win rate
• This is a test wallet. Scale only after proving 57%+ over 50+ bets.
• No content/clicks/virality work. Pure gambling focus for Axel Speech Project.