prob.trade — Polymarket Analytics & Trading

Get real-time prediction market intelligence and trade on Polymarket from prob.trade. Browse trending markets, discover price movements, see what top traders are doing, and place orders.

Setup (required for all commands)

All commands require a prob.trade API key. Configure it in ~/.openclaw/skills/probtrade/config.yaml:

api_key: "ptk_live_..."
api_secret: "pts_..."

Generate keys at https://app.prob.trade (Settings → API Keys). Free account required.

Analytics Commands

Use the scripts below to query the prob.trade Public API.

Market Overview

Get a quick snapshot of the prediction market landscape:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py overview

Returns: market stats, top 10 hot markets, breaking price movements, and newest markets.

Hot Markets

See the most actively traded markets right now:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py hot [--limit N]

Breaking Markets

Markets with the biggest price movements in the last 24 hours:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py breaking [--limit N]

New Markets

Recently created prediction markets:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py new [--limit N] [--days N]

Search Markets

Find markets about a specific topic:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py search "Trump" [--limit N]

Market Details

Get detailed information about a specific market by its condition ID:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py market <condition_id>

Market Statistics

Category breakdown and overall market counts:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py stats

Top Traders

See the most profitable prediction market traders:

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py traders [--limit N] [--sort pnl|roi|volume|winRate] [--period all|30d|7d|24h]

Trading Commands

Trade on Polymarket using the same API key configured above.

Place Order

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py order --market <condition_id> --side BUY --outcome Yes --type LIMIT --price 0.55 --amount 10

Cancel Order

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py cancel --order-id <orderId>

View Positions

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py positions

View Balance

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py balance

View Open Orders

python3 {baseDir}/scripts/probtrade.py orders

Security: API secret never leaves your machine. Only HMAC signatures are sent. No withdraw/transfer endpoints exist.

Output Format

All commands output structured JSON for easy parsing by AI agents. Key fields:

condition_id: Unique market identifier (use for trading on Polymarket)
question: The prediction market question
tokens: Current prices for Yes/No outcomes
volume_24hr: Trading volume in last 24 hours
liquidity: Available liquidity for trading
end_date_iso: When the market resolves

probtrade

Safety Notice

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