polymarket-weather-bucket-thresholds

Global temperature bucket threshold strategy via Simmer. Buy YES under 15%, sell full position at 45%, max ~$2 entries, max 5 trades/scan, every 2 minutes.

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Install skill "polymarket-weather-bucket-thresholds" with this command: npx skills add Brian/polymarket-weather-bucket-thresholds

Global Temperature Bucket Thresholds (Simmer)

Rules:

  • Entry: buy YES when current_probability < 0.15
  • Exit: sell entire YES position when current_probability >= 0.45
  • Max entry spend: ~$2 (default uses 1.80 to avoid slippage overshoot)
  • Max trades per scan: 5
  • Schedule: every 2 minutes
  • Safeguards: strict — skip any market with context warnings
  • Dry-run by default. Use --live to place trades.

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