spending-analysis

Before using this skill, ensure you have:

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Install skill "spending-analysis" with this command: npx skills add pollinations/pollinations/pollinations-pollinations-spending-analysis

Requirements

Before using this skill, ensure you have:

  • curl: For API requests

  • jq: brew install jq (for parsing JSON)

  • sops: brew install sops (for decrypting secrets)

Must run from the pollinations repo root with access to enter.pollinations.ai/ .

Data Sources

Polar API

  • Orders: Payment history for pack purchases

  • Products: Tier subscriptions and pollen packs

  • Customers: User payment info linked by external_id

Tinybird

  • generation_event: Usage data with user_tier , total_price , user_id

  • Tracks all API requests with pricing and tier info

Quick Commands

Get Polar Access Token

From sops-encrypted secrets

export POLAR_ACCESS_TOKEN=$(sops -d enter.pollinations.ai/secrets/prod.vars.json | jq -r '.POLAR_ACCESS_TOKEN')

Or from .testingtokens (if available)

export POLAR_ACCESS_TOKEN=$(grep POLAR_ACCESS_TOKEN enter.pollinations.ai/.testingtokens | cut -d= -f2)

Get Tinybird Token

export TINYBIRD_TOKEN=$(sops -d apps/operation/kpi/secrets/env.json | jq -r '.TINYBIRD_TOKEN')

Polar API Queries

List Products (Tiers & Packs)

curl -sL "https://api.polar.sh/v1/products"
-H "Authorization: Bearer $POLAR_ACCESS_TOKEN" | jq '[.items[] | {name, id, recurring: .is_recurring}]'

Get Pack Purchases (Last 100)

5 pollen pack product ID

PRODUCT_ID="bcdde7f7-129e-4ec1-abc3-d4e0c852fa68"

curl -sL "https://api.polar.sh/v1/orders?limit=100&product_id=$PRODUCT_ID"
-H "Authorization: Bearer $POLAR_ACCESS_TOKEN" |
jq '[.items[] | {date: .created_at[0:10], amount: (.total_amount / 100), customer: .customer.email}]'

All Pack Product IDs

Pack Product ID

5 pollen + 5 FREE bcdde7f7-129e-4ec1-abc3-d4e0c852fa68

10 pollen + 10 FREE cebeb680-4ac3-4f73-9ce7-6bc06a5f21e1

20 pollen + 20 FREE 8164c20f-8429-437e-b1a2-616ae89f114e

50 pollen + 50 FREE 2cb5ca34-d505-450d-a1d4-94e3bb0c1f68

10 pollen (pack) ca4cc8bc-694d-4710-8451-1dcb4979fbc7

20 pollen (pack) 679a9fd3-be30-4552-8b2e-f825103c42b7

50 pollen (pack) bf48ded2-19ca-4d28-bca9-a91fff2dd0a0

Weekly Revenue from All Packs

.claude/skills/spending-analysis/scripts/weekly-pack-revenue.sh

Tinybird Queries

User Count by Tier

curl -sL "https://api.europe-west2.gcp.tinybird.co/v0/sql"
-H "Authorization: Bearer $TINYBIRD_TOKEN"
--data-urlencode "q=SELECT argMax(user_tier, start_time) as tier, count() as users FROM generation_event WHERE start_time >= now() - INTERVAL 60 DAY AND environment = 'production' AND user_id != 'undefined' GROUP BY user_id FORMAT JSON" |
jq '.data | group_by(.tier) | map({tier: .[0].tier, users: length})'

Weekly Spending by Tier

curl -sL "https://api.europe-west2.gcp.tinybird.co/v0/sql"
-H "Authorization: Bearer $TINYBIRD_TOKEN"
--data-urlencode "q=SELECT toStartOfWeek(start_time) as week, user_tier, sum(total_price) as total_spend, count() as requests FROM generation_event WHERE start_time >= now() - INTERVAL 60 DAY AND environment = 'production' GROUP BY week, user_tier ORDER BY week DESC FORMAT JSON" | jq '.data'

Analysis Scripts

Weekly Pack Revenue

.claude/skills/spending-analysis/scripts/weekly-pack-revenue.sh

Shows weekly breakdown of actual pack purchases (real revenue, not free tier usage).

Pack Purchases by Tier

.claude/skills/spending-analysis/scripts/pack-purchases-by-tier.sh

Cross-references Polar pack purchasers with Tinybird tier data to show which tiers buy most pollen proportionally.

Key Findings (Jan 2026 Analysis)

Pack Purchases by Tier (Weighted by User Count)

Tier Revenue Purchasers Total Users % Who Buy $/User

nectar $146 10 23 43.5% $6.37

flower $564 18 218 8.3% $2.59

seed $1,173 38 575 6.6% $2.04

spore $1,657 106 6,757 1.6% $0.25

Key Insight: Higher tiers buy MORE pollen proportionally, not less.

Revenue Trend (9 Weeks)

Week Orders Revenue

Jan 13-19 51 $573

Jan 6-12 83 $928

Dec 30-Jan 5 59 $928

Dec 23-29 21 $432

Dec 16-22 22 $276

Dec 9-15 16 $141

Dec 2-8 17 $293

Nov 25-Dec 1 10 $293

Nov 18-24 1 $10

Notes

  • Free tier spending in Tinybird includes daily pollen allocation - not real revenue

  • Pack purchases in Polar are actual paid revenue

  • Cross-reference by external_id (Polar) = user_id (Tinybird)

  • Polar API returns 307 redirects - use curl -sL to follow

Source Transparency

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