macro-regime-detector

Detect the current macro regime (Risk-On, Risk-Off, Inflationary, Deflationary, Stagflation) using multi-source intelligence. Combines Fear & Greed, DXY, yield curve, VIX, gold/BTC ratio, Reddit sentiment, and major news events. Use when you need macro regime analysis, risk-on vs risk-off determination, portfolio positioning advice, or crypto market context.

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Install skill "macro-regime-detector" with this command: npx skills add jamierossouw/macro-regime-detector

Macro Regime Detector

Real-time macro regime classification for crypto and traditional asset positioning.

Regimes Detected

RegimeDescriptionCrypto Positioning
A — Risk-On BullVIX <15, F&G >60, DXY fallingMax long, leverage OK
B — Neutral/CoolingMixed signals, consolidationSelective longs, tighter stops
C — Risk-Off BearVIX >25, F&G <25, DXY risingReduce exposure, hedge
D — Inflationary SpikeCPI surprise, Gold/BTC spikeBTC as inflation hedge
E — StagflationHigh inflation + recession fearsDefensive: BTC, gold, cash
F — Liquidity CrisisCredit spreads explode, correlation 1Exit all risk, stablecoin only

Signal Sources

  • Fear & Greed (alternative.me/fng): 0-100 score, regime anchor
  • Reddit pulse: r/CryptoCurrency, r/investing hot posts, bearish/bullish ratio
  • DXY proxy: BTC/USD inverse correlation check
  • News NLP: major economic event detection (Fed, CPI, NFP, SEC)
  • On-chain: BTC exchange flows, miner capitulation signals

How to Use

Ask: "What macro regime are we in?" or "Should I be long or short crypto right now?"

Returns: current regime letter + confidence % + 3 supporting signals + positioning recommendation.

Regime History (current session)

  • Feb 21 2026: Regime B (Neutral/Cooling) | F&G=8, "Extreme Fear" | Contrarian bullish signal active

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