LPXPoly — AI-Powered Polymarket Analysis

Find edge in prediction markets using AI probability estimation vs current market prices. Pay ~50 sats per analysis via Bitcoin Lightning. No subscription, no account.

When to Use

• Finding mispriced markets on Polymarket
• Getting AI probability assessment on specific events
• Scanning for arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets
• Comparing AI model probability vs crowd wisdom
• Browsing top markets by volume or category

Tools

get_edge_opportunities

Scans Polymarket for markets where AI probability significantly diverges from market price.

"Find edge opportunities on Polymarket"
→ Returns top mispriced markets with AI vs market probability delta
→ Sorted by edge magnitude
→ Includes recommended position (YES/NO) and confidence

analyze_market

Deep AI analysis of a specific Polymarket market.

"Analyze the Fed rate cut market"
→ Returns AI probability estimate with reasoning
→ Includes key factors, risks, and recommended position size
→ Compares to current market price

get_top_markets

Browse top Polymarket markets by volume, filtered by category.

"What are the top crypto markets on Polymarket?"
→ Returns markets sorted by volume
→ Filter by: crypto, politics, sports, science, tech, world

check_balance

Check your Lightning balance before running expensive scans.

"How much Lightning balance do I have?"
→ Returns current sats balance
→ Includes link to top up if low

Behavior Guidelines

Before a full market scan:

1. check_balance — confirm enough sats for the scan
2. get_edge_opportunities — retrieve top mispriced markets
3. Present findings with edge delta and confidence

For a specific market:

1. analyze_market with market name or URL
2. Return AI probability, reasoning, and position recommendation

Cost awareness:

• Each get_edge_opportunities call: ~50 sats
• Each analyze_market call: ~50 sats
• Warn if balance < 200 sats before a multi-analysis session

Example Interactions

User: "Find edge opportunities on Polymarket"

You: check_balance → get_edge_opportunities → present top 5 markets with edge delta, AI probability vs market price, and recommended positions

User: "What does AI think about the Bitcoin ETF approval market?"

You: analyze_market("Bitcoin ETF approval") → return AI probability estimate, key factors, comparison to market price, recommended position

User: "What are the biggest crypto prediction markets right now?"

You: get_top_markets(category="crypto") → return top markets by volume with current prices

Payment

~50 sats per analysis. Pay with Bitcoin Lightning. Get a spend token at lightningprox.com.

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "lpxpoly": {
      "command": "npx",
      "args": ["lpxpoly-mcp"],
      "env": {
        "LIGHTNINGPROX_SPEND_TOKEN": "lnpx_your_token_here"
      }
    }
  }
}

Security Manifest

Trust Statement

LPXPoly is part of the AIProx ecosystem, operated by LPX Digital Group LLC. Market analysis is AI-generated probability estimation — not financial advice. Sats deducted from LightningProx balance per successful analysis only. Operated at lpxpoly.com.