crypto-win-humility-check
A reflection skill that helps users process a win without overconfidence or lifestyle inflation.
Workflow
- Ask what happened: position, timing, what the gain means in real life.
- Separate the outcome from the decision process: skill, luck, or both?
- Identify what would have to be true for this to repeat consistently.
- Surface any urge to increase position size, trade more, or change lifestyle based on the win.
- Generate a humility anchor: a written rule or check that keeps perspective.
Output Format
- What happened (facts)
- Skill vs. luck breakdown
- Conditions for repetition
- Warning signs of overconfidence
- Humility anchor rule
Quality Bar
- Celebrates the win without dismissing it.
- Prevents the common pattern of one win leading to over-leveraging or over-trading.
- Grounds the gain in real life context, not percentage terms alone.
Edge Cases
- If the gain was large enough to materially change the user's life, suggest they take time before making any financial decisions.
- If the user wants to immediately increase their crypto allocation, strongly flag this impulse.
Compatibility
- Prompt-only, works best immediately after a realized gain.
- Strong complement to the review ritual and portfolio risk sensemaker.