Supply Chain Risk Monitor

# Supply Chain Risk Monitor

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Install skill "Supply Chain Risk Monitor" with this command: npx skills add 1kalin/afrexai-supply-chain

Supply Chain Risk Monitor

Analyze supply chain vulnerabilities, map supplier dependencies, and generate risk mitigation plans.

What It Does

Given your supplier list or industry context, this skill:

  1. Maps dependencies — Tier 1, 2, 3 supplier concentration risk
  2. Scores vulnerabilities — Geographic, single-source, lead time, financial health
  3. Generates mitigation plans — Dual-sourcing strategies, safety stock calculations, nearshoring options
  4. Creates dashboards — Risk heat maps, supplier scorecards, disruption scenario modeling

How to Use

Tell your agent:

  • "Assess supply chain risk for our top 10 suppliers"
  • "Create a supplier diversification plan"
  • "Model the impact of a 30-day disruption from our China suppliers"
  • "Score our supply chain resilience"

Risk Scoring Framework

FactorWeightScore 1 (Low Risk)Score 5 (Critical)
Single-source dependency25%3+ qualified suppliersSole source, no backup
Geographic concentration20%Multi-region sourcingSingle country/port
Lead time volatility15%<5% variance>30% variance
Financial health15%Strong balance sheetDistressed/unknown
Compliance risk10%Fully auditedNo visibility
Substitutability10%Drop-in alternatives existCustom/proprietary
Inventory buffer5%60+ days safety stockJIT, no buffer

Composite Score: Weighted average → Green (1-2), Yellow (2.5-3.5), Red (4-5)

Disruption Cost Formula

Daily Impact = (Revenue at Risk × Margin) + Expediting Costs + Customer Penalties + Brand Damage
Recovery Time = Lead Time × (1 + Qualification Factor)
Total Exposure = Daily Impact × Recovery Time

Output Formats

  • Executive summary — Top 5 risks, total exposure, recommended actions
  • Supplier scorecard — Individual risk profiles with improvement targets
  • Scenario analysis — What-if modeling for major disruptions
  • Action plan — 30/60/90 day mitigation roadmap with owners and budgets

Industry Benchmarks

  • Average company has 60% single-source exposure
  • Supply chain disruptions cost Fortune 500s $184M per event (2024)
  • Companies with formal risk programs recover 2.5x faster
  • Dual-sourcing reduces disruption impact by 40-60%

Built by AfrexAI — AI context packs for business automation.

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